📰 2026-04-18 12:30 更新
🔸 Are the costs of AI agents also rising exponentially? (2025) / 人工智能代理的成本是否也呈指数级增长？ （ 2025年）
🔗 Are the costs of AI agents also rising exponentially? (2025)
🔥 137 points
原文:
As this trend shows no signs of stopping, people have naturally taken to extrapolating it out, to forecast when we might expect AI to be able to do tasks that take an engineer a full work-day; or week; or year.But we are missing a key piece of information — the cost of performing this work. Over those 7 years AI systems have grown exponentially. The size of the models (parameter count) has grown by 4,000x and the number of times they are run in each task (tokens generated) has grown by about …
译文:
由于这一趋势没有停止的迹象，人们自然而然地将其推断出来，以预测我们预计人工智能何时能够完成需要工程师全天、全周或全年的任务。但我们缺少一个关键信息–执行这项工作的成本。在这7年中，人工智能系统呈指数级增长。模型的大小（参数计数）增长了4,000倍，它们在 每个任务（生成的令牌）增长了大约…
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